Last run winner, three weeks ago over the same distance, performed well, settled in a good position tracking the leaders and finished strongly to win. This time needing to carry 10 pounds more, having previously won three races at this distance, possesses the best time among its group, should be held up for a late run with a strong finishing kick, enjoys an advantageous situation, and its overall ability is arguably superior to all others in the field. The jockey has some understanding of the horse’s capabilities, trainer and jockey are aligned, showing improvement and capable of another victory.