Last run winner, three weeks ago over the same distance, this horse performed exceptionally well. It jumped slowly, settled back in the field, and then finished strongly with fast sections to win. This time it needs to carry 5 pounds more, having previously won twice over this course and distance. The overall time is comparable to its rivals, and drawing a good barrier position puts it in a favorable situation. With this horse's ability, it’s definitely a strong contender in the race. The jockey has some understanding of the horse’s capabilities, and trainer-jockey relationship is solid, increasing its chances of defending its title.