Two weeks ago, over the same distance, the horse underperformed. It was slow to jump, settling towards the back before making a strong run, finishing fifth beaten by one and a half lengths. This time, it carries no additional weight, has previously won three races at this distance, boasts good sectional times, and draws a favorable barrier. The horse is expected to track the pace, and holds a significant advantage in this race. The jockey understands the horse’s weaknesses; despite a lack of finishing kick, with a smooth jump and commitment to tracking the leaders, it can improve its position.