Three weeks ago, over the same distance, the performance was poor; he led comfortably with a steady pace but lacked a strong finish, finishing fifth beaten two lengths. This time, he has a one-pound weight reduction, and the barrier draw isn’t ideal. Despite having won twice over this course and distance previously, the competition is relatively even. He has the potential to challenge for the lead, draws a decent barrier, possesses good finishing speed, and therefore has a chance."