Five weeks ago, over the same distance, this horse performed exceptionally well, jumping moderately and settling towards the back before finishing with a fast final two sections to secure second place, beaten by half a length. This time he carries an additional three pounds, has a favorable pace scenario within the group, and holds a relative strength advantage compared to other contenders. The jockey has some understanding of the horse’s capabilities, and there is mutual trust between jockey and trainer; the horse is in good form. Despite drawing an outside barrier requiring a hold-up strategy, his finishing kick may not be as strong as rivals, but he is expected to perform close to his best.