Six weeks ago, over the same distance, this horse performed poorly, missing the break and settling towards the rear before failing to make any ground. A recent trial showed moderate form. This time he needs to carry an additional three pounds, faces a time difference within his group, and has drawn an outside barrier – unfavorable conditions. Despite two previous wins over this distance and the ability to track the pace-setters or even lead, he’s not considered a strong contender in this race.