Two weeks ago, over the same distance, this horse performed well, jumping slowly and settling towards the back before finishing strongly. Now dropping in class, he needs to carry 19 pounds more this time, is considered best of the group, has drawn an inside barrier, and will likely be held up in the run relying on a strong finishing kick. The horse’s ability suggests it's the strongest contender in this race; the jockey understands its weaknesses and is key to its performance.